It’s game week 11 and it looks like Arsenal will run away with the title. They sit on top with 25 points, ahead of Man City with 19 points and Liverpool with 18 points. However, Arsenal has been known to drop off when it matters most in the last few years. Is this the year they finally lift the EPL trophy after 21 years, or are we in for a surprise as usual? Let’s take a detailed look at where the EPL is at the moment, and why it feels so hard to predict.

Who will win the Premier League this season

The strong performance from Liverpool last season placed the team in the spotlight at the start of the campaign. Everyone wanted to see if they could win the title two years in a row, and Arsenal and Manchester City were expected to be their main competitors. They started the season off well and won the first five games but then slumped suddenly.

The new players have not lived up to expectations so far and Arne Slot has found it difficult to defend against fast transitions down the sides of the pitch. Liverpool has conceded 14 times already this season and they look like a team that can drop points anytime.

Arsenal has since capitalised and now looks like the team to catch, but the biggest conviction in their title charge is the manner in which they have done it. The Gunners have only conceded three times this season, and on numerous occasions they have completely shut teams out of a match.

The team has been criticised at times this season when they play too cautiously, but that approach now seems smart. The team currently looks solid and stable, and could finally break their title drought. Their defensive strength and consistent performances have made them favourites among speculators.

Many betting sites have given Arsenal a high chance for top place finish and even decent title winning odds. The Opta supercomputer also backs this prediction with favourable odds. However, not everything should be left to a prediction. With a betting odds calculator, bettors can calculate the expected payout from a range of options. AskGamblers UK has released a guide detailing how and when to use these tools, so if you’ve thought about placing a flutter, make sure to be fully informed before doing so.

Man City is the other team with a real chance to win the EPL as the squad tries to find their best form. Manchester City has worked to control games through possession again, but it feels like the big difference between them and Liverpool this season has been individual player quality.

The forwards in Liverpool have struggled except for Ekitike, while every striker in City seems to be on form. Erling Haaland and Phil Foden are at their best once again and have been excellent for City. Haaland is on a streak with 13 goals in just 10 games.

The battle for the top five

Last season saw a tough battle among the top teams for the top four spots, which later expanded to a top five due to the strong performances of English clubs in European competitions. Many clubs already have their sights on a return to European football, but it is not the usual suspects that currently occupy the fourth and fifth positions. Sunderland currently occupies the fourth position, while Bournemouth is in fifth. Familiar names such as Tottenham and Chelsea are fiercely chasing the two.

Moises Caicedo has arguably been the standout player in the Premier League this season, and Gary Neville believes he is now the best midfielder in the country. Yet, Chelsea still feels like an incomplete team. Their win over Liverpool illustrated progress and highlighted how dangerous the champions of the world can be when they finally click. A loss to Sunderland has left them eight points behind the leaders, and injuries in central defence have been a major setback. The team also appears to lack the necessary experience to maintain consistent win runs.

Man Utd is another team that has improved more than expected this season. They won three Premier League games in a row for the first time under Amorim to relieve some of the pressure, but a draw to Tottenham put the brakes on their streak. There are certainly some positives with this team, and they look better than the team we saw in 2024/25.

Relegation battle

Concerns that all the newly promoted teams will struggle and face immediate relegation have eased, thanks to the strong performances from Sunderland under Regis Le Bris.

Sunderland appears to be a team with Premier League experience, led by Granit Xhaka. They have already collected 11 points from seven games and have made the Stadium of Light a difficult venue for visitors. Leeds United and Burnley have also shown far better form than the last promoted sides.

These three clubs have together earned 39 points, which is more than twice the total accumulated by promoted teams at the same stage in the 2024/25 season. West Ham United and Nottingham Forest have surprisingly not performed well so far this season, as they currently appear to be involved in a relegation fight alongside Leeds and Burnley.

What could change before the end of the season?

The new season feels like there is still a lot in store for fans to relish. What has been very interesting to see is how well the mid-tier clubs have played so far. Arsenal looks solid at the top, but their history reminds us it will be difficult to see this through. There are still plenty of twists to come in the league and any definite predictions now would be premature.